Global hiring momentum remains steady year-over-year yet shows caution quarter-over-quarter, according to ManpowerGroup’s latest Employment Outlook Survey of more than 40,500 employers across 42 countries. The global Net Employment Outlook (NEO) for Q3 2026 stands at 26%, down five points from the previous quarter, though up two points from the same period last year. Outlooks weakened in 33 of 42 countries compared to last quarter.
Yet beneath the headline number, a more complex picture is emerging. Mid-size organizations (250–999 employees) report the strongest hiring intentions globally at 32%, alongside the largest year-over-year gains (+6 points), outpacing both small businesses and large enterprises.
“What the data this quarter reveals is a labor market navigating uncertainty while pursuing selective opportunity,” said Jonas Prising, ManpowerGroup Chair & CEO. “Economic uncertainty, more than AI itself, is emerging as the primary driver of caution, particularly across Europe, Asia, and large enterprises. At the same time, many employers are continuing to hire selectively for the skills that will help them transform their businesses, accelerate productivity, and prepare for long-term growth. The organizations moving forward most confidently are those aligning their people strategy with their technology strategy.”
While 42% of organizations plan to increase staff in Q3, down from 45% last quarter, 40% plan to maintain current headcount and 16% anticipate reductions. Anticipated hiring increases are driven primarily by company expansion; expected decreases are fueled by economic challenges.
AI Drives Productivity Gains, But Human Judgment Remains the Most Valued Hiring Tool
AI continues to reshape how organizations think about productivity and the workforce, and the Q3 data shows employers aren’t ready to hand over the keys to AI entirely.
Despite growing AI adoption, a person reviewing resumes (57%) remains the most valued hiring resource, ranked above all AI and automated tools: